Multiple-choice questions each
Multiple-choice questions each have four possible answers leftparenthesis a comma b comma c comma d right parenthesis, one ofwhich is correct. Assume that you guess the answers to three suchquestions. a. Use the multiplication rule to find P(CWW), where Cdenotes a correct answer and W denotes a wrong answer.P(CWW)equals nothing (Type an exact answer.) b. Beginning withCWW, make a complete list of the different possible arrangementsof one correct answer and two wrong answers, then find theprobability for each entry in the list. P(CWW)minussee aboveP(WWC)equals nothing P(WCW)equals nothing (Type exactanswers.) c. Based on the preceding results, what is theprobability of getting exactly one correct answer when threeguesses are made? nothing (Type an exact answer.)
Answer:
Solution:
Given: Multiple-choice questions each have four possibleanswers, one of which is correct.
Let C = Correct Answer and W = Wrong Answer
Thus P(C) = 1/4 = 0.25 and P(W) = 3/4 = 0.75
Assume that you guess the answers to three such questions.
Part a) Use the multiplication rule to findP(CWW), where C denotes a correct answer and W denotes a wronganswer.
P(CWW) = ……..?
Since questions are independent, we can write:
P( CWW) = P(C) X P(W) X P(W)
P( CWW) = 0.25 X 0.75 X 0.75
P( CWW) = 0.140625
Part b) Beginning with CWW, make a completelist of the different possible arrangements of one correct answerand two wrong answers, then find the probability for each entry inthe list.
List of one correct answer and two wrong answers:
{ CWW , WWC , WCW }
P( CWW) = P(C) X P(W) X P(W)
P( CWW) = 0.25 X 0.75 X 0.75
P( CWW) = 0.140625
P( WWC ) =P(W) X P(W) X P(C)
P( WWC ) = 0.75 X 0.75 X 0.25
P( WWC ) = 0.140625
P( WCW ) =P(W) X P(C) X P(W)
P( WCW ) = 0..75 X 0.25 X 0.75
P( WCW ) = 0.140625
Part c. Based on the preceding results, whatis the probability of getting exactly one correct answer when threeguesses are made?
P( getting exactly one correct answer when three guesses aremade) = …….?
P( getting exactly one correct answer when three guesses aremade) = P( CWW) + P( WWC ) + P( WCW )
P( getting exactly one correct answer when three guesses aremade) = 0.140625 +0.140625 +0.140625
P( getting exactly one correct answer when three guessesare made) = 0.421875
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